Updated Findings from a Help Wanted Index of Job Advertisements and an Analysis of the Policy Implications: Is the Job-Market Shortage for Diagnostic Radiologists Stabilizing?
Daniel D. Saketkhoo1,
Anne M. Covey2,
Jonathan Sunshine3 and
Howard P. Forman1,4,5
1 Department of Diagnostic Radiology, Yale University School of Medicine, 333
Cedar St., SP2-332, New Haven, CT 06520.
2 Department of Diagnostic Radiology, Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center,
1275 New York Ave., New York, NY 10021.
3 Research Department, American College of Radiology, 1891 Preston White Dr.,
Reston, VA 20191.
4 Department of Economics, Yale College, Yale University, New Haven, CT
06520.
5 School of Management, Yale University, NewHaven, CT06520.
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Fig. 1. —Map of United States shows geographic regions used for coding
of advertisements. Alaska is included in Northwest and Hawaii in
Southwest.
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Fig. 2. —Graph shows actual number of advertisements (bars)
per month in American Journal of Roentgenology and Radiology
from January 1991 through December 2001, with 12-month rolling average
(thick line) calculated to reduce seasonal variation. Note that
rolling average peaked in summer of 1992, bottomed out at end of 1995, and
peaked again during spring of 2001. Jan = January, Jul = July.
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Fig. 3. —Scatterplot shows percentage of change month to month using
rolling average data seen in Figure
2. Note three inflection points: June 1992 when percentage of
change switches from positive to negative; December 1995 when percentage of
change switches from negative to positive; and March 2001 when percentage of
change flattens to nearly zero after having been positive. Jan = January, Jul
= July.
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Fig. 4. —Bar graph shows number of want ads by year in American
Journal of Roentgenology and Radiology for diagnostic
radiologists sorted by practice type, from January 1991 through December 2001.
Note that gap between number of private (purple bars) and academic
(red bars) positions has increased since nadir of market in 1995.
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Fig. 5. —Pie chart shows percentage of total positions advertised by
geographic location from January 1991 through December 1994. NE = Northeast,
NW = Northwest, MW = Midwest, SE = Southeast, SW = Southwest, CA = California,
CAN = Canada, INDETLOC = indeterminate location.
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Fig. 6. —Pie chart shows percentage of total positions advertised by
geographic location from January 1995 through December 1998. NE = Northeast,
NW = Northwest, MW = Midwest, SE = Southeast, SW = Southwest, CA = California,
CAN = Canada, INDETLOC = indeterminate location.
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Fig. 7. —Pie chart shows percentage of total positions advertised by
geographic location from January 1999 through December 2001. NE = Northeast,
NW = Northwest, MW = Midwest, SE = Southeast, SW = Southwest, CA = California,
CAN = Canada, INDETLOC = indeterminate location.
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Fig. 8. —Bar graph shows absolute numbers of positions advertised in
each geographic region for 1999 (purple bars), 2000 (red
bars), and 2001 (yellow bars). Note that while advertisements
increased in the Northeast, Southeast, and Midwest for 2001 versus 2000, they
decreased in the Northwest, Southwest, and California. Number of positions
advertised in California has been decreasing since 1999.
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Fig. 9. —Pie chart shows percentage of total positions advertised by
subspecialty from January 1991 through December 1994. V/I = vascular and
interventional, Mammo = mammography, Neuro = neuroradiology, Peds = pediatric
radiology, Abd = abdominal and cross-sectional imaging, M/S = musculoskeletal,
ER = emergency radiology, Nuc-M = nuclear medicine, Gen = general.
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Fig. 10. —Pie chart shows percentage of total positions advertised by
sub-specialty from January 1995 through December 1998. V/I = vascular and
interventional, Mammo = mammography, Neuro = neuroradiology, Peds = pediatric
radiology, Abd = abdominal and cross-sectional imaging, M/S = musculoskeletal,
ER = emergency radiology, Nuc-M = nuclear medicine, Gen = general.
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Fig. 11. —Pie chart shows percentage of total positions advertised by
sub-specialty from January 1999 through December 2001. V/I = vascular and
interventional, Mammo = mammography, Neuro = neuroradiology, Peds = pediatric
radiology, Abd = abdominal and cross-sectional imaging, M/S = musculoskeletal,
ER = emergency radiology, Nuc-M = nuclear medicine, Gen = general.
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Copyright © 2002 by the American Roentgen Ray Society.
