Findings in 2002 from a Help Wanted Index of Job Advertisements: Is the Job-Market Shortage of Diagnostic Radiologists Easing?
Daniel D. Saketkhoo1,
Jonathan H. Sunshine2,
Anne M. Covey3 and
Howard P. Forman1,4,5
1 Department of Diagnostic Radiology, Yale University School of Medicine, 333
Cedar St., TE-2, New Haven, CT 06510.
2 Research Department, American College of Radiology, 1891 Preston White Dr.,
Reston, VA 20191.
3 Department of Diagnostic Radiology, Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center,
1275 York Ave., New York, NY 10021.
4 Department of Economics, Yale College, Yale University, New Haven, CT
06510.
5 School of Management, Yale University, New Haven, CT 06510.
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Fig. 1. —Map of United States shows geographic regions used for coding of
advertisements. Alaska is included in Northwest and Hawaii in Southwest.
(Reprinted from [10])
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Fig. 2. —Graph shows absolute number of advertisements (bars) each
month in American Journal of Roentgenology and Radiology
from January 1991 through December 2002, with 12-month rolling average
(red line) calculated to reduce seasonal variation. Note that rolling
average peaked in summer of 1992, bottomed out at end of 1995, and peaked
again during fall of 2001. Also note obvious downtrend in rolling average from
February to December 2002.
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Fig. 3. —Scatterplot shows percentage of change month to month using rolling
average data seen in Figure 2.
Note three inflection points: June 1992, when percentage of change switches
from positive to negative; December 1995, when percentage of change switches
from negative to positive; and November 2001, when percentage of change
switches back from positive to negative.
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Fig. 4. —Bar graph shows average number of want ads per year in American
Journal of Roentgenology and Radiology for diagnostic
radiologists, sorted by practice type, from January 1991 through December
2002. Note that difference between number of private (blue bars) and
academic (red bars) positions decreased for 2002 as compared with
2001.
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Fig. 5. —Graph shows number of private (blue bars) and academic
(red bars) positions advertised each month from January 2002 through
December 2002. Twelve-month rolling averages for private (blue line)
and academic (red line) positions are superimposed. Note that rolling
averages for private and academic positions approach each other as year
progresses, as number of private positions decreases and number of academic
positions increases.
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Fig. 6. —Pie chart shows percentage of positions advertised by geographic
location for 4-year period of January 1999 through December 2002. Note large
proportions in Midwest, Southeast, and Northeast.
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Fig. 7. —Bar graph shows annual absolute number of positions advertised for
each geographic region from 1999 through 2002. Note decrease in Midwest,
Southeast, Northeast, and Southwest for 2002 versus 2001, and increase in
Northwest and California. In each group, from left to right, bars indicate
1999, 2000, 2001, and 2002.
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Fig. 8. —Pie chart shows percentage of positions advertised by subspecialty
for 4-year period from January 1999 through December 2002.
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Copyright © 2003 by the American Roentgen Ray Society.
