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Brigham and Women's Hospital Boston, MA 02120
I read with great interest the article by Choi et al. [1] in the December 2004 issue of the AJR in which they evaluated the response of gastrointestinal stromal tumors after imatinib mesylate treatment. The authors attempted to correlate changes in tumor density on CT with changes in the maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax) on FDG PET; they used 4 x 4 contingency tables and chi-square tests to assess associations between the grading of the average percentage of change in tumor density and in tumor size. In the 29 patients who underwent both CT and FDG PET in their study, no significant association was found between the percentage of change in tumor density on CT and the SUVmax on FDG PET (p = 0.3088, chi-square test).
Because this study had a matched design and includes the data of repeated measurements in the same patient population, the use of the chi-square test for statistical evaluation is not appropriate. For correlated proportions, like those in the study of Choi et al. [1], the correct choice would be the McNemar test [2, 3]. However, the McNemar test is available only for 2 x 2 contingency tables, and, therefore, its use would necessitate combining the groups so that the data would fit into a 2 x 2 table.
In fact, regarding the study purpose and the symmetric four grade scales used to evaluate tumor response, the most proper statistical solution for this study would be to use the kappa statistic; the kappa statistic is a common way to measure interobserver agreement [4, 5]. With use of the linear weighting kappa statistic, the authors would have been able to show the associations between the grade of changes in CT tumor density, tumor size, and SUVmax more comprehensively. Based on the data given in Tables 3 and 4 in the article by Choi et al. [1], the kappa value for the agreement between the grading of the change in SUVmax on FDG PET images and in tumor density on CT images is 0.31 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.090.52), whereas the agreement between the change in SUVmax and in the tumor size is 0.04 (95% CI = 0.000.09). This information might have led the authors to additional conclusions.
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