Prognostic Value of 18F-FDG PET in Patients with Head and Neck Squamous Cell Cancer
Abstract
OBJECTIVE. This study was designed to assess whether tumor uptake of 18F-FDG (FDG) expressed as the standardized uptake value (SUV) can be used to predict survival in patients with head and neck cancer. Furthermore, a prognostic maximum SUV was determined with univariate and bivariate analyses.
CONCLUSION. Low SUVs (≤ 7.0) predicted significantly higher rates of 2-year local control (p = 0.0067) and disease-free survival (p = 0.0051) as compared with high SUVs (> 7.0). In the Cox proportional hazards model, tumor SUV was a significant and independent predictor of local control (p = 0.022) and disease-free survival (p = 0.019). In addition, in the group of high SUV, high T stage was more associated with poorer outcome than low T stage (p = 0.0502). Therefore, patients with higher tumor FDG uptake should be considered for a more aggressive treatment approach.
Introduction
Because head and neck cancer is predominantly a locoregional disease, the success of treatment depends essentially on achieving local and regional control. Indicators of patient outcome have traditionally been derived from clinical and pathologic features, including the site of disease origin, the size and extent of the primary tumor, and cervical lymph node involvement. Although this approach provides a useful framework for prediction and has been improved by advances in structural imaging techniques such as CT and MRI, it continues to be limited by outcome heterogeneity within stage categories, hampering accurate prognostication for individual patients [1, 2].
With the use of 18F-FDG (FDG), a glucose analog, PET allows noninvasive study of glucose metabolism in a wide variety of tumor types including head and neck cancer [3, 4]. Tumor FDG uptake has been associated with various cellular characteristics such as cell viability and proliferating activity [5, 6]. Thus, analyses of metabolic parameters, which are independent of morphologic changes, are expected to allow an important opportunity to predict individual tumor behavior. This study was designed to evaluate the prognostic value of FDG PET in patients with head and neck cancer before treatment. In addition, we determined a prognostic maximum standardized uptake value (SUV) with univariate and bivariate analyses.
Materials and Methods
Patients and Treatment Protocol
Fifty consecutive patients with newly diagnosed head and neck squamous cell cancer were enrolled in this FDG PET study. The study group was composed of 37 men and 13 women with a mean age of 68 years (range, 51–89 years). In addition to a routine pretreatment physical examination and panendoscopy, all patients underwent head and neck MRI as well as FDG PET. Each case was staged according to the 1997 International Union Against Cancer (UICC) TNM staging system [7]. Patients presenting with distant metastatic disease (M1) were excluded. The distribution of TNM stages in the 50 patients was as follows: stage I in 11 patients, stage II in six, stage III in five, and stage IV in 28. All patients provided written informed consent for participation in the PET study, which had been approved by our institutional review board.
For the 50 patients, all treatment consisted of definitive radiotherapy with or without chemotherapy or radical surgery with or without adjuvant chemoradiation therapy. Thirty-four patients were scheduled to receive definitive radiotherapy at doses of 60.0–70.0 Gy; we refer to these patients as the “radiotherapy group.” Of these, 17 patients received concomitant chemotherapy, generally using docetaxel and carboplatin or cisplatin (or both) with or without a continuous infusion of 5-fluorouracil. Sixteen patients underwent radical surgery and corresponding neck dissections, and we refer to these patients as the “surgery group.” Of these patients, 12 received adjuvant chemotherapy with or without radiotherapy.
PET Acquisition
All patients fasted for at least 5 hours before PET studies. Serum glucose levels measured at the time of FDG injection were < 150 mg/dL in all patients. A whole-body PET scanner (SHR22000, Hamamatsu Photonics) was used [8]. The SHR22000 scanner permits simultaneous acquisition of 63 transverse planes of 3.6-mm thickness encompassing a 23.0-cm axial field of view. Whole-body emission scans were obtained with five bed positions starting 60 minutes after IV administration of FDG (400–500 MBq) [9]. Acquisition time was 6 minutes per bed position. A transmission scan for segmented attenuation correction was then acquired with a 68Ge external ring source for 3 minutes per bed position. To minimize the accumulation of FDG activities in the urinary bladder, patients were asked to void just before emission scan. Transaxial, coronal, and sagittal images were reconstructed by means of the ordered-subset expectation maximization (OSEM) method with 8 subsets and 3 iterations. The average reconstructed x–y spatial resolution was about 4.0-mm full width at half maximum (FWHM) in plane.
PET images were visually interpreted and analyzed in comparison with the corresponding MR images. Any foci of FDG uptake that were increased relative to the surrounding normal soft tissue and were not located in areas of physiologically increased uptake were considered to be positive for primary or metastatic lesions. For semiquantitative analysis, the SUV was calculated for the primary tumor in each patient using the following equation: SUV = tracer activity / injected dose normalized to body weight. A computerized semiautomated algorithm was used to eliminate interobserver discrepancy [8]. This method helps to define the maximal uptake in a small square 1.0 × 1.0 cm region of interest (3 × 3 pixels) placed within the tumor that was biopsied. To minimize the partial volume effect, the maximal SUV value within a pixel was used to represent tumor FDG uptake.
Statistical Analysis
The Kaplan-Meier method was applied to calculate local control and disease-free survival rates. We determined a statistically significant SUV cutoff value for the survival analysis using the log-rank test. Tumor persistence or recurrence was documented by at least two different examinations (endoscopy, MRI, or PET). Persistent or recurrent tumor at the initial primary site was considered as an event in determining local control rate; for disease-free survival, nodal metastases as well as distant metastases were also taken into account. The time interval for the end points was calculated from the first day of treatment until the date of an event or the last follow-up. The log-rank test was applied to assess the correlation of these end points with the clinical risk factors (primary tumor SUV, T stage, N stage, and patient age) and therapeutic variables (treatment groups). Bivariate Cox proportional hazards analyses were performed for primary tumor SUV alone (unadjusted) or adjusted for each of the other tested risk factors.
We repeated this proportional hazards analysis using primary tumor SUV as a continuous variable. The Mann-Whitney U test was used to compare primary tumor SUV in different subgroups. Comparison of subgroups for the probability of recurrence was performed with Fisher's exact test. A two-sided p value of < 0.05 was considered significant.
Results
Overall Results
FDG PET correctly detected the primary tumor in 46 patients, but did not show the primary lesion in four patients with stage T1 disease, including laryngeal cancer (n = 3) and tongue cancer (n = 1). MRI findings for three of the four patients were also false-negative. All four patients had N0 disease. In semiquantitative analysis, tumor SUV for these four patients with false-negative FDG uptake was defined as 2.0 to reflect typical baseline SUV of normal head and neck soft tissues.
The median tumor SUV for all 50 patients was 10.53 (range, 2.0–32.34). It was 8.99 and 11.28 for the radiotherapy and surgery groups, respectively (p = 0.78). When tumor SUV was correlated with T stage, T1–T2 tumors had a significantly lower median SUV than T3–T4 tumors (4.77 vs 12.54, respectively; p = 0.001). There was a significant difference of the median SUV between N0 and N1–N3 diseases (4.77 vs 11.40, p = 0.027).
At the last follow-up, 41 patients were alive and nine patients had died. The median follow-up for the surviving patients was 15 months (range, 2–56 months). Of the 41 patients, seven presented with persistent or recurrent local or regional lesion, whereas the remaining 34 patients were free from disease. The discriminative value of various cutoff SUVs for FDG uptake of primary tumor was analyzed in the context of local control and disease-free survival. The most discriminate cutoff SUV for prognosis proved to be 7.0, although dichotomization with a broad range of SUVs of between 5 and 10 gave significantly discriminative log-rank p values. Therefore, an SUV of 7.0 was used as the cutoff value in the following analyses.
Univariate and Bivariate Analyses
In the log-rank test, patients with low SUVs (≤ 7.0) had significantly higher rates of local control (91% vs 55%, respectively; p = 0.0067; Fig. 1) and disease-free survival (91% vs 55%, p = 0.0051, Fig. 2) at 2 years than patients with high SUVs (> 7.0) (Table 1). Patients with early T stage (T1–T2) also showed significantly higher rates of local control (87% vs 45%, p = 0.0008) and disease-free survival (87% vs 45%, p = 0.0006) at 2 years than those with advanced T stage (T3–T4), whereas N stage, patient age, and treatment strategy did not predict for the disease outcome.
Factor | No. of Patients | % of Patients with 2-Year Local Control | p | % of Patients with 2-Year Disease-Free Survival | p |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tumor SUV | 0.0067 | 0.0051 | |||
≤ 7.0 | 21 | 91 | 91 | ||
> 7.0 | 29 | 55 | 55 | ||
T stage | 0.0008 | 0.0006 | |||
T1–T2 | 30 | 87 | 87 | ||
T3–T4 | 20 | 45 | 45 | ||
N stage | 0.14 | 0.12 | |||
N0 | 22 | 82 | 82 | ||
N1–N3 | 28 | 61 | 61 | ||
Patient age (y) | 0.88 | 0.81 | |||
≤ 65 | 21 | 67 | 67 | ||
> 65 | 29 | 72 | 72 | ||
Treatment | 0.18 | 0.15 | |||
Radiotherapy group | 34 | 62 | 62 | ||
Surgery group | 16 | 88 | 88 |
Note—SUV = standardized uptake value
In the Cox proportional hazards analysis, tumor SUV and T stage were significant and independent predictors of local control and disease-free survival at 2 years, whereas N stage, patient age, and treatment strategy were not identified as significant prognostic factors for either local control or disease-free survival (Table 2). The local control and disease-free survival hazard ratios for tumor SUV remained significant when adjusted for N stage and patient age. When we repeated this proportional hazards analysis using primary tumor SUV as a continuous variable, tumor SUV was significantly predictive of both local control (p = 0.0043) and disease-free survival (p = 0.0032). The hazard ratios of local control and disease-free survival for continuous tumor SUV remained significant when adjusted for N stage and patient age.
Local Control | Disease-Free Survival | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Factors | Hazard Ratio | p | Hazard Ratio | p |
Tumor SUV | ||||
≤ 7.0 / > 7.0 | 5.64 | 0.022 | 5.88 | 0.019 |
T stage | ||||
T1–T2 / T3–T4 | 5.24 | 0.0043 | 5.39 | 0.0038 |
N stage | ||||
N0 / N1–N3 | 2.23 | 0.17 | 2.28 | 0.15 |
Patient age (y) | ||||
≤ 65 / > 65 | 0.93 | 0.88 | 0.89 | 0.82 |
Treatment | ||||
Radiotherapy / surgery | 0.45 | 0.21 | 0.43 | 0.18 |
Tumor SUV | ||||
Continuous variablea | 1.10 | 0.0043 | 1.11 | 0.0032 |
Note—SUV = standardized uptake value
a
Hazard ratio correlates with an increase in one unit of SUV
Disease Outcome According to Clinical and Therapeutic Factors
In Table 3, the group of patients with a high tumor SUV (14/29 relapses) were associated with poorer outcome than those with a low tumor SUV (2/21 relapses) (p = 0.0052). High T stage (12/20 relapses) was also associated with poorer outcome than low T stage (4/30 relapses) (p = 0.0014), whereas N stage, patient age, and treatment strategy did not predict disease outcome. Table 4 indicates that, in the group of patients with a high tumor SUV, a high T stage (12/19 relapses) was more associated with recurrence than a low T stage (2/10 relapses) (p = 0.0502), although such a relationship was not observed in the group of patients with a low tumor SUV.
No. of Patients | |||
---|---|---|---|
Factors | Recurrence (n = 16) | No Recurrence (n = 34) | p |
Tumor SUV | 0.0052 | ||
≤ 7.0 | 2 | 19 | |
> 7.0 | 14 | 15 | |
T stage | 0.0014 | ||
T1–T2 | 4 | 26 | |
T3–T4 | 12 | 8 | |
N stage | 0.076 | ||
N0 | 4 | 18 | |
N1–N3 | 12 | 16 | |
Patient age (y) | NS | ||
≤ 65 | 7 | 14 | |
> 65 | 9 | 20 | |
Treatment | 0.21 | ||
Radiotherapy group | 13 | 21 | |
Surgery group | 3 | 13 |
Note—NS = not significant
Tumor SUV | T Stage | Recurrence (n = 16) | No Recurrence (n = 34) | p |
---|---|---|---|---|
≤ 7.0 (n = 21) | T1–T2 (n = 20) | 2 | 18 | NS |
T3–T4 (n = 1) | 0 | 1 | ||
> 7.0 (n = 29) | T1–T2 (n = 10) | 2 | 8 | 0.0502 |
T3–T4 (n = 19) | 12 | 7 |
Note—NS = not significant
Discussion
In our results of PET studies performed before definitive therapy, we found that tumor FDG uptake, as measured by SUV, was a significant and independent prognostic factor of local control and disease-free survival in patients with head and neck cancer. The proportional hazards analysis showed a linear relationship between tumor SUV and clinical outcome. Thus, simultaneous localization and characterization of disease with FDG PET could be useful for individualized selection of high-risk patients for systemic therapy.
The results of our study also show that the group of patients with a high tumor SUV (> 7.0) had a poorer outcome than those with a low tumor SUV (≤ 7.0). Furthermore, in the group of patients with a high tumor SUV, high T stage was moderately and almost significantly associated with a poorer outcome compared with a low T stage (p = 0.0502), suggesting that the combination of high tumor SUV and high T stage may be predictive of recurrence after initial treatment.
The association of high tumor FDG uptake with poor survival may be related to several factors including the size, vascularity, and aggressiveness of the tumor [5, 6]. In a study of FDG PET and immunohistochemical analysis, increased FDG accumulation and overexpression of hexokinase II were found in oral squamous cell carcinoma [10]. Kunkel et al. [11] found that both glucose transporter (Glut)–1 expression and FDG uptake were associated with a poor prognosis in patients with oral squamous cell carcinoma, although there was no significant correlation between the two variables. They concluded that inhibitors of glucose transport could become clinically useful as adjuvants to treatment of these patients.
The potential value of FDG PET in predicting outcome in head and neck cancer has been described in previous clinical studies. Minn et al. [12] reported that a primary tumor SUV greater than 9.0 predicted advanced clinical stage, low histologic grade of differentiation, and poor overall disease survival in 37 patients with head and neck cancer. In another study [13], a tumor SUV of greater than 10.0 predicted significantly inferior overall survival after surgery or definitive radiation therapy in 58 patients. Allal et al. [14] suggested that treatment of tumors with high FDG uptake (SUV > 5.5) was at greater risk of failure in 63 patients treated by radiotherapy with or without chemotherapy. These investigators obtained similar findings in a larger population (n = 120) of patients who underwent radiotherapy-based treatment (n = 73), and those who underwent resection-based treatment (n = 47) were analyzed separately [15].
Our findings confirm those of previous studies by showing significantly inferior local control and disease-free survival in patients with a primary tumor SUV of greater than 7.0, although treatment was heterogeneous in our study. However, treatment heterogeneity cannot explain this result because both SUV subgroups were well balanced in this regard: 10 versus six patients of the surgery group and 19 versus 15 of the radiotherapy group for the high and low SUV subgroups, respectively.
Our results also indicate that primary tumor SUV, presented as a continuous variable, was the independent predictor for both local control and disease-free survival in head and neck cancer (Table 2). Wong et al. [16] showed that an increase in SUV by one unit increased the relative risk of relapse by 11% and the relative risk of death by 14% in the group of previously treated patients. We noted similar findings in the group of untreated patients. When analyzed as a continuous variable, an increase in one unit of SUV increased the patient's relative risk of local recurrence by 10% and of a disease event by 11%. In addition, these p values were lower than those when a tumor SUV of 7.0 was used as the cutoff value. Because the proportional hazards analysis was performed in a stepwise manner, we could expect that tumor SUV has significant incremental information beyond the clinical examination.
In the study of Schwartz et al. [17], continuous tumor SUV was not predictive of outcomes in newly diagnosed patients, although removal of several high-end SUV points in advanced T3–T4 stage was required to restore a relationship with local recurrence. The reason for the discrepancy between our and their findings is unclear, but it may partly be due to the difference in the percentage of patients with T3–T4 stage, 40% (20/50) in our study and 65% (35/54) in their study.
To predict the clinical response to treatment, dynamic FDG PET has been applied to several tumors, including head and neck cancer [12]. The authors concluded that the rate of tumor glucose metabolism could be a meaningful predictor of treatment response, although dynamic PET and kinetic analysis are complicated and time consuming for both patients and physicians in routine clinical work. The measurement of SUV is a simple and widely used method that has good reproducibility and shows high correlation with kinetic parameters [18]. However, if SUV is applied, there is no reliable cutoff for defining subgroups of differing prognoses. Further studies are necessary to resolve the question regarding optimal methodology of measuring tumor FDG uptake.
In conclusion, our study showed that high FDG uptake in head and neck cancer is significantly associated with poor outcome. We also found the clinical utility of continuous tumor SUV as a significant and independent prognostic factor. In addition, the combination of high SUV and high T stage may be predictive of poorer outcome after the initial treatment. Therefore, a more aggressive treatment approach should be considered for tumors with high FDG uptake.
Footnotes
Address correspondence to T. Torizuka ([email protected]).
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Submitted: June 23, 2008
Accepted: October 10, 2008
First published: November 23, 2012
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