Original Research
Cardiopulmonary Imaging
February 8, 2017

Prognostic Value of Stress Dynamic Myocardial Perfusion CT in a Multicenter Population With Known or Suspected Coronary Artery Disease

Abstract

OBJECTIVE. The purpose of this study was to determine the prognostic value of myocardial perfusion CT for major adverse cardiac events (MACE).
MATERIALS AND METHODS. Data from six centers in Asia, Europe, and North America on 144 patients with known or suspected coronary artery disease who had undergone coronary CT angiography (CCTA) and dynamic myocardial perfusion CT with a dual-source CT system were analyzed. CCTA studies were acquired at rest. Dynamic myocardial perfusion CT was performed under vasodilator stress. CCTA data were evaluated for the presence of coronary artery stenosis (≥ 50% luminal narrowing) on a per-vessel basis. Myocardial perfusion CT data were qualitatively evaluated for perfusion defects in each vessel territory. Patient follow-up was performed 6, 12, and 18 months after imaging. The prognostic value of CT findings was assessed with Kaplan-Meier statistics and the multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model.
RESULTS. According to the CCTA findings, 62 of 144 patients (43.1%) had at least one 50% or greater stenosis. According to the myocardial perfusion CT findings, 51 patients (35.4%) had one or more perfusion defects. Patients with at least one perfusion defect at myocardial perfusion CT were at increased risk of MACE (hazard ratio, 2.50; 95% CI, 1.34–4.65; p = 0.0040). This association remained significant after adjustment for age, sex, and clinical risk factors (hazard ratio, 2.41; 95% CI, 1.28–4.51; p = 0.0064) and after further adjustment for CCTA findings (hazard ratio, 2.03; 95% CI, 1.04–3.97; p = 0.0390). The number of territories with perfusion defects was strongly predictive of MACE with adjusted hazard ratios of 1.41, 3.44, and 4.76 for one, two, and three affected territories.
CONCLUSION. In assessment for future MACE, myocardial perfusion CT has incremental predictive value over clinical risk factors and detection of coronary artery stenosis with CCTA.
Coronary CT angiography (CCTA) has matured into a robust imaging technique for the noninvasive assessment of coronary artery disease (CAD). As a purely anatomic test, CCTA has limitations for identifying hemodynamically significant obstructive CAD. Dynamic myocardial perfusion CT performed during pharmacologic stress has been described as an adjunct to CCTA for assessing the hemodynamic significance of coronary artery stenosis [13]. Other approaches to determining the hemodynamic significance of coronary stenosis with CT include single-shot myocardial perfusion and fractional flow reserve imaging, both of which have been evaluated in multicenter studies [46].
Because of the novelty of the technique, current clinical evidence on dynamic myocardial perfusion CT is limited to single-center experiences [1, 2, 714], which have shown the feasibility of the technique and its accuracy for identifying hemodynamically significant coronary artery stenosis with a variety of reference standards, such as cardiac catheterization with or without functional flow reserve measurements, cardiac MRI, and nuclear myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI). The available data suggest that CT has potential for evolving into a clinically useful imaging modality for the assessment of myocardial perfusion. The unique advantage of myocardial perfusion CT is the potential of combining it with CCTA so that coronary artery stenoses and their effects on myocardial perfusion can be assessed comprehensively and noninvasively with a single modality.
A large body of evidence has accumulated on the prognostic value of SPECT [15, 16] in the evaluation of myocardial perfusion, and results of a number of studies have established a similar role of PET [16] and cardiac perfusion MRI [17]. To our knowledge, however, no prognostic data are available on myocardial perfusion CT. The purpose of this investigation was to assess the prognostic value of stress dynamic myocardial perfusion CT for future major adverse cardiac events (MACE) in a multicenter population of patients at intermediate to high cardiovascular risk.

Materials and Methods

The population for this study was 242 patients enrolled in a multicenter registry. Baseline findings on a portion of these patients (146 and 137 patients in two studies [18, 19]) have been previously reported. However, neither outcome in general nor the predictive value of CCTA or myocardial perfusion CT for future MACE was assessed in those studies.

Patient Population

In the multicenter registry, we pooled data on patients from six centers in Asia, Europe, and North America who had undergone CCTA and dynamic myocardial perfusion CT between November 2009 and July 2011 as part of single-center studies. Patients were eligible if they had suspected or known CAD. Patients were not considered for study inclusion if they had contraindications to CT or to administration of iodinated contrast medium or adenosine. The respective research study protocols had been approved by the institutional review boards of all participating institutions, and written informed consent had been obtained from all research subjects before enrollment. The dynamic myocardial perfusion CT examinations were investigational. The results of these examinations were not reported or disclosed to clinicians and were not used to guide management decisions.

Collection of Clinical Risk Factor Baseline Data

At myocardial perfusion CT, the following demographic parameters and baseline clinical risk factors were collected for all patients: age; sex; history of diabetes, hypertension, or dyslipidemia; history of smoking (current or former smoker); personal history of CAD (previous myocardial infarction or previous angiographically documented clinically significant CAD); and family history of CAD. The total number (range, 0–6) of these cardiac risk factors was determined.

CT Image Acquisition

All image acquisitions were performed with a second-generation dual-source CT system (Somatom Definition Flash, Siemens Healthcare). Initially, CCTA was performed at rest after IV administration of 50–80 mL of iodinated contrast agent (concentration, 300–370 mg I/mL). Depending on the patient's heart rate and rhythm, CCTA was performed with retrospective ECG gating (patients with arrhythmia), prospectively ECG-triggered sequential acquisition (patients in sinus rhythm with a heart rate > 60 beats/min), or prospectively ECG-triggered high-pitch spiral acquisition (patients in sinus rhythm with a heart rate ≤ 60 beats/min).
After 3 minutes of continuous adenosine administration at an infusion rate of 140 μg/kg/min, myocardial perfusion CT acquisition was initiated. The scan delay was determined with a test bolus injection and set 4–6 seconds before arrival of the contrast agent in the aorta. Data acquisition was performed for 30 seconds with both x-ray tubes set at 100 kV, gantry rotation time of 0.28 seconds, and tube current of 300 mAs per rotation. Perfusion imaging was performed with an ECG-triggered shuttle mode in which the table shifted between two z-positions of the heart. Image acquisition was performed in systole 250 ms after the R wave. With a defined detector width of 38 mm, and 10% overlap between the two imaging positions, the coverage of the acquisition was 73 mm. A total of 14–15 image volumes during myocardial passage of the contrast bolus were acquired for each patient. Myocardial perfusion CT studies were contrast enhanced with 40–50 mL of iodinated contrast agent (concentration, 300–370 mg I/mL) administered at a flow rate of 4–7.5 mL/s to ensure an iodine delivery rate of 1.5–2.25 g I/s.

Analysis of Coronary CT Angiographic Studies

Analysis of all CCTA and myocardial perfusion CT data was performed in a central core laboratory at one site. All CCTA data were reconstructed with a section thickness of 0.75 mm and 0–5 mm increments with a vascular reconstruction kernel (B26F). Two experienced readers (3 and 6 years of experience in cardiac CT interpretation) independently evaluated all CCTA studies. For CAD evaluation, vessel-based analysis was performed to evaluate the presence of stenosis in the left anterior descending, left circumflex, and right coronary arteries. The left main coronary artery was included with the left anterior descending. Coronary artery dominance (right, left, or balanced) was recorded. The degree of stenosis was assessed with multiplanar reconstructions and curved multiplanar reconstructions along the vessel centerline (Circulation, Siemens Healthcare). Vessels were visually assessed as to whether they harbored stenosis with 50% or greater luminal narrowing. If the lumen of a given vessel was not evaluable because of the presence of heavy calcifications or motion artifacts, it was rated nondiagnostic. For the data analysis, these vessels were considered to have 50% or greater stenosis according to an intention-to-diagnose approach to avoid the risk of overlooking any stenoses possibly present in nondiagnostic vessels. Myocardial regions were then matched to the supplying vessels. Discordant findings were resolved in a final consensus reading with a third observer (more than 15 years of experience in cardiac CT). The results of this consensus interpretation were used for statistical analysis.

Qualitative Assessment of Myocardial Perfusion CT Studies

Qualitative interpretation of myocardial perfusion CT studies was performed independently by the two readers. Each vessel territory was assessed for the presence of perfusion defects. For this purpose, reconstructed perfusion datasets were viewed with dedicated software (VPCT body application, Syngo MMWP workstation, Siemens Healthcare), which analyzes and displays parameters of the myocardial blood supply, including myocardial blood flow and myocardial blood volume, as parametric maps. Visual analysis of myocardial perfusion CT data were performed in side-by-side correlation with CCTA studies to directly match perfusion defects to the supplying vessels. To ensure correct identification of vascular territories, angiographic visualization of vessel dominance was used to decide which vessel supplied the inferior and inferoseptal regions. A vessel territory was considered to harbor a perfusion defect if an area of decreased myocardial blood flow, volume, or both was present that was consistent with an ischemic cause and not suggestive of an artifact (whether or not ≥ 50% stenosis was detected in the supplying vessel at CCTA). Myocardial perfusion CT studies were viewed in axial, coronal, and sagittal orientation for reliable differentiation of artifacts from true perfusion defects. Any discrepancies between the two readers were resolved by consulting the third experienced reader. A myocardial perfusion CT stress test result was classified as positive if one or more territories had a perfusion deficit.

Clinical Follow-Up

Prospective follow-up was conducted at each site by chart review and telephone interviews with the patient or a close relative 6, 12, and 18 months after imaging. Outcome data were collected from a standardized questionnaire. Reported clinical events were confirmed by contact with the patient's primary care physician or the admitting hospital. The occurrence of MACE was recorded at each time point. If an event was registered during follow-up but the exact time of the event could not be determined, it was assumed that the event occurred at the end of the 6-month time interval since the last follow-up examination because this would result in the most conservative risk estimates. MACE were defined as cardiac death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, unstable angina requiring hospitalization, or revascularization (percutaneous coronary intervention or coronary artery bypass grafting).

Statistical Analysis

Continuous data (age) were tested for normal distribution by Kolmogorov-Smirnov test and found to be not normally distributed. Thus, age was presented as median and interquartile range (25th–75th percentile) and compared by nonparametric Mann-Whitney test. Categoric data were displayed as absolute frequencies and proportions. The chi-square test was used to compare the frequency distribution of binary data between groups. The chi-square test for trend was used to compare the distribution of the number of affected vessels or territories. Patients were divided into groups according to the number of vessels with 50% or greater stenosis and according to the number of vascular territories with perfusion defects.
Cumulative event rates stratified by CCTA and myocardial perfusion CT features were analyzed with Kaplan-Meier survival curves fitted for MACE with patient data censored after the first event. The log-rank test was used to test for significant differences in cumulative event rates between groups. The univariate Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to analyze the predictive value of findings at CCTA and myocardial perfusion CT for MACE during follow-up. Adjusted Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate whether the predictive value of CCTA and myocardial perfusion CT findings was independent of age, sex, and clinical risk factors and whether findings at myocardial perfusion CT had predictive value independent of findings at CCTA. The first model was adjusted for sex and number of clinical risk factors (hypertension, hyperlipidemia, diabetes, smoking history, history of CAD, family history of CAD) with block entry of all variables. The second model additionally incorporated the number of vessels with 50% or greater stenosis at CCTA. All statistical analyses were performed with MedCalc Statistical Software (version 12.7.2, MedCalc Software). Two-sided p < 0.05 was considered to indicate statistical significance.

Results

Patient Population

Data on a total of 242 patients from six centers in Asia, Europe, and North America were pooled in a registry (Fig. 1). Eighty-two patients were excluded from the analysis because of missing follow-up data, missing or incomplete myocardial perfusion CT data, presence of severe artifacts in the perfusion dataset, or substantial portion of the myocardium not covered by the myocardial perfusion CT acquisition. Sixteen of the other 160 patients had a history of previous coronary revascularization (percutaneous coronary intervention [n = 14] or coronary artery bypass grafting [n = 2]) and were excluded from the final analysis. The final patient population consisted of 144 patients from five centers (111 men [77.1%]; 33 women [22.9%]; median age, 61 years; interquartile range, 54–65 years) at intermediate to high cardiovascular risk who underwent CCTA and myocardial perfusion CT for known or suspected CAD. Age, sex, and clinical risk factors did not have statistically significant predictive value for MACE (Table 1), although a trend toward higher risk among men was observed (hazard ratio [HR], 2.03; 95% CI, 0.85–4.82; p = 0.1109).
Fig. 1 —Flowchart shows criteria used to establish study groups. MACE = major adverse cardiac events.
TABLE 1: Baseline Characteristics and Risk Factors in Patients With and Without Major Adverse Cardiac Events (MACE) During Follow-Up
ParameterAll Patients (n = 144)MACE (n = 40)No MACE (n = 104)p
Demographic characteristics    
 Age (y)   0.8373
  Median616260 
  Interquartile range54-6554-6554-65 
 Sex   0.2378
  Men111 (77.1)34 (85.0)77 (74.0) 
  Women33 (22.9)6 (15.0)27 (26.0) 
Cardiovascular risk factors    
 Hypertension81 (56.3)22 (55.0)59 (56.7)1.0000
 Hyperlipidemia93 (64.6)26 (65.0)67 (64.4)0.8968
 Diabetes mellitus41 (28.5)11 (27.5)30 (28.8)0.9635
 Current or former smoking50 (34.7)17 (42.5)33 (31.7)0.3075
 Known CAD51 (35.4)16 (40.0)35 (33.7)0.6040
 Family history of CAD45 (31.3)11 (27.5)34 (32.7)0.6881

Note—Values are numbers of patients with percentages in parentheses. CAD = coronary artery disease.

Imaging Findings

CCTA showed that 112 of 432 evaluated vessels (25.9%) had stenosis with 50% or greater luminal narrowing. At least one clinically significant stenosis was found in 62 of 144 patients (43.1%) (Table 2). Four patients with left-dominant coronary circulation did not have a left ventricular myocardial territory supplied by the right coronary artery. Therefore, myocardial perfusion was analyzed in 428 vascular territories in 144 patients. Overall, 83 vessel territories (19.4%) in 51 patients (35.4%) had a perfusion defect at visual analysis of myocardial perfusion CT data (Table 2). Imaging findings of representative patients are shown in Figures 24.
TABLE 2: Univariate Comparison of Imaging Findings Between Patients With and Without Major Adverse Cardiac Events (MACE) During Follow-Up
ParameterAll Patients (n = 144)MACE (n = 40)No MACE (n = 104)p
Coronary CT angiographic findings    
 At least one ≥ 50% stenosis62 (43.1)25 (62.5)37 (35.6)0.0062
 No. of vessels with obstructive lesions   0.0761
  082 (56.9)15 (37.5)67 (64.4) 
  127 (18.8)13 (32.5)14 (13.5) 
  220 (13.9)8 (20.0)12 (11.5) 
  315 (10.4)4 (10.0)11 (10.6) 
Myocardial perfusion CT findings    
 At least one territory with perfusion defect51 (35.4)22 (55.0)29 (27.9)0.0043
 No. of territories with perfusion defects   0.0002
  093 (64.6)18 (45.0)75 (72.1) 
  126 (18.1)8 (20.0)18 (17.3) 
  218 (12.5)9 (22.5)9 (8.7) 
  37 (4.9)5 (12.5)2 (1.9) 

Note—Values are numbers of patients with percentages in parentheses.

Fig. 2A —50-year-old man with normal findings.
A, Coronary CT angiographic images show no evidence of coronary artery disease in left anterior descending (A), circumflex (B), or right (C) coronary artery.
Fig. 2B —50-year-old man with normal findings.
B, Coronary CT angiographic images show no evidence of coronary artery disease in left anterior descending (A), circumflex (B), or right (C) coronary artery.
Fig. 2C —50-year-old man with normal findings.
C, Coronary CT angiographic images show no evidence of coronary artery disease in left anterior descending (A), circumflex (B), or right (C) coronary artery.
Fig. 2D —50-year-old man with normal findings.
D, Transverse color-coded parametric map of myocardial blood flow obtained during stress myocardial perfusion CT shows homogeneous myocardial perfusion without evidence of perfusion defects.
Fig. 3A —58-year-old man with atypical chest pain due to right coronary artery (RCA) stenosis and associated inferior wall perfusion defect.
A, Curved multiplanar reformat (A) and cross-sectional coronary CT angiographic images proximal to (top, B) and at level of (bottom, B) stenosis show proximal RCA lesion (arrow, A) causing intermediate to severe stenosis.
Fig. 3B —58-year-old man with atypical chest pain due to right coronary artery (RCA) stenosis and associated inferior wall perfusion defect.
B, Curved multiplanar reformat (A) and cross-sectional coronary CT angiographic images proximal to (top, B) and at level of (bottom, B) stenosis show proximal RCA lesion (arrow, A) causing intermediate to severe stenosis.
Fig. 3C —58-year-old man with atypical chest pain due to right coronary artery (RCA) stenosis and associated inferior wall perfusion defect.
C, Volume-rendered display shows right-dominant coronary anatomy with RCA supplying inferior wall of left ventricle.
Fig. 3D —58-year-old man with atypical chest pain due to right coronary artery (RCA) stenosis and associated inferior wall perfusion defect.
D, Transverse color-coded parametric map of myocardial blood flow obtained at stress myocardial perfusion CT shows extensive myocardial perfusion defect in inferior wall of left ventricle (arrows).
Fig. 4A —64-year-old man with atypical chest pain due to left anterior descending coronary artery (LAD) stenosis with associated anteroseptal perfusion defect.
A, Curved multiplanar reformat coronary CT angiographic image shows diffuse mixed plaque (arrows) in proximal to mid LAD causing high-grade stenosis.
Fig. 4B —64-year-old man with atypical chest pain due to left anterior descending coronary artery (LAD) stenosis with associated anteroseptal perfusion defect.
B, Coronary CT angiographic images show mild atherosclerotic changes with luminal irregularities but without obstructive lesions in circumflex (B) and right (C) coronary arteries.
Fig. 4C —64-year-old man with atypical chest pain due to left anterior descending coronary artery (LAD) stenosis with associated anteroseptal perfusion defect.
C, Coronary CT angiographic images show mild atherosclerotic changes with luminal irregularities but without obstructive lesions in circumflex (B) and right (C) coronary arteries.
Fig. 4D —64-year-old man with atypical chest pain due to left anterior descending coronary artery (LAD) stenosis with associated anteroseptal perfusion defect.
D, Transverse coronary CT angiographic image shows vaguely appreciable apical hypoenhancement.
Fig. 4E —64-year-old man with atypical chest pain due to left anterior descending coronary artery (LAD) stenosis with associated anteroseptal perfusion defect.
E, Transverse color-coded parametric map of myocardial blood flow obtained at stress myocardial perfusion CT shows anteroseptal perfusion defect (arrows) corresponding to LAD territory.

Clinical Outcomes

The median follow-up period was 12 months (range, 6–18 months). Forty patients (27.7%) experienced the following MACE during follow-up: nonfatal myocardial infarction (n = 1), unstable angina (n = 13), percutaneous coronary intervention (n = 23), and coronary artery bypass grafting (n = 3). No cardiac deaths were recorded.

Prognostic Value of Imaging Findings

Patients with at least one 50% or greater stenosis on CCTA images were significantly more likely to experience MACE during follow-up (HR, 2.47; p = 0.0056). This association remained significant after adjustment for age, sex, and clinical risk factors (HR, 2.71; p = 0.0035) (Table 3, Fig. 5). Patients with a perfusion defect in at least one vascular territory at visual analysis of myocardial perfusion CT datasets were at significantly increased risk of MACE (HR, 2.50; p = 0.0040). This association remained significant after adjustment for age, sex, and clinical risk factors (HR, 2.41; p = 0.0064). The adverse prognostic significance of at least one perfusion defect also remained significant after further adjustment for CCTA findings (HR, 2.03; p = 0.0390). The number of territories with perfusion defects was strongly predictive of MACE. The HRs adjusted for age, sex, clinical risk factors, and CCTA findings were 1.41 (p = 0.4378), 3.44 (p = 0.0234), and 4.76 (p = 0.0026) for perfusion defects in one, two, and three territories.
TABLE 3: Risk of Major Adverse Cardiac Events Associated With Findings at Coronary CT Angiography and Myocardial Perfusion CT
FindingUnivariate AnalysisMultivariate Model 1aMultivariate Model 2b
Hazard Ratio95% CIpHazard Ratio95% CIpHazard Ratio95% CIp
Coronary CT angiography         
 At least one ≥ 50% stenosis2.471.31-4.670.00562.711.39-5.260.0035NANANA
Myocardial perfusion CT         
 At least one territory with perfusion defect2.501.34-4.650.00402.411.28-4.510.00642.031.04-3.970.0390
 No. of territories with perfusion defects         
  0ReferenceNANAReferenceNANAReferenceNANA
  11.600.70-3.660.27011.460.63-3.380.38181.410.60-3.330.4378
  23.241.46-7.190.00413.181.43-7.100.00493.441.19-9.960.0234
  34.811.79-12.900.00204.881.78-13.40.00224.761.73-13.100.0026

Note—NA = not applicable.

a
Adjusted for age, sex, and number of cardiovascular risk factors.
b
Adjusted for age, sex, number of cardiovascular risk factors, and coronary CT angiographic findings.
Fig. 5A —Prognostic value of findings at coronary CT angiography (CCTA) images and myocardial perfusion CT.
A, Kaplan-Meier survival curves show event-free survival rates among patients with and without at least one 50% or greater coronary stenosis on CCTA (A), with and without at least one perfusion defect (B), and stratified by number of territories with perfusion defects (C). Patient data were censored after first event.
Fig. 5B —Prognostic value of findings at coronary CT angiography (CCTA) images and myocardial perfusion CT.
B, Kaplan-Meier survival curves show event-free survival rates among patients with and without at least one 50% or greater coronary stenosis on CCTA (A), with and without at least one perfusion defect (B), and stratified by number of territories with perfusion defects (C). Patient data were censored after first event.
Fig. 5C —Prognostic value of findings at coronary CT angiography (CCTA) images and myocardial perfusion CT.
C, Kaplan-Meier survival curves show event-free survival rates among patients with and without at least one 50% or greater coronary stenosis on CCTA (A), with and without at least one perfusion defect (B), and stratified by number of territories with perfusion defects (C). Patient data were censored after first event.

Discussion

The emerging technique of stress myocardial perfusion CT has the potential to supplement the well-established clinical utility of CCTA with functional assessment of myocardial perfusion. Our data derived from a multicenter registry show that myocardial perfusion CT findings are predictive of adverse events and have incremental prognostic value over clinical risk factors and assessment of coronary artery stenosis with CCTA. Our primary findings are that the presence of at least one perfusion defect at myocardial perfusion CT is an independent prognostic marker for future MACE and that the risk of MACE increases with the number of affected myocardial territories. Our data show that a patient with any perfusion defect detected with myocardial perfusion CT is at approximately 2.5-fold increased risk of experiencing a future cardiac event compared with patients with normal myocardial perfusion CT findings. A positive myocardial perfusion CT study increases the risk of MACE twofold even after adjustment for conventional risk factors and CCTA findings. The risk increases approximately 1.4-, 3.4-, and 4.8-fold among patients with perfusion defects in one, two, and three territories.
The prognostic power of nuclear MPI is supported by a large body of evidence accumulated over 3 decades of experience with the technique [16]. The presence and extent of ischemia at SPECT have been found to be highly predictive of cardiac events [20]. Furthermore, the prognostic utility of nuclear MPI is incremental to clinical assessment, treadmill stress testing, and coronary catheter angiography [2123]. Cardiac PET is a more recently developed technique, and evidence on the prognostic value of PET is accumulating rapidly [2429]. Compared with SPECT, PET has a number of advantages, including superior spatial and temporal resolution and potential for quantifying absolute myocardial blood flow [16]. In this regard, dynamic myocardial perfusion CT is similar to PET in enabling absolute quantification of myocardial blood flow. Absolute quantification of myocardial blood flow with PET allows calculation of myocardial flow reserve, defined as the ratio between myocardial blood flow at peak and flow at rest. Initial studies have shown the prognostic value of myocardial flow reserve at myocardial perfusion PET [3033]. In our study, we focused on visual rather than quantitative analysis of perfusion datasets, because this appears more suitable for clinical routine and reflects the most common approach of assessing myocardial perfusion in clinical practice with SPECT or cardiac MRI.
In line with the prognostic results of SPECT and PET, cardiac MRI, either with vasodilator or dobutamine stress, has been found to be an excellent prognostic test. Patients with known or suspected CAD and stress cardiac MRI findings positive for ischemia are at 5% annual risk of experiencing a future cardiac event, whereas patients with negative results are at less than 1% risk [34]. The prognostic results of both nuclear and cardiac MRI functional testing are comparable to the prognostic value of CCTA findings reported in the Coronary CT Angiography Evaluation for Clinical Outcomes: An International Multicenter Registry (called the CONFIRM registry) [35]. The presence of nonobstructive disease confers 1% annual risk, and high-risk CAD increases the risk to 5%. Moreover, CCTA findings of CAD severity have independent prognostic value over conventional clinical predictors [3537].
Combining CCTA and nuclear MPI has been found to improve risk stratification over that with either test alone [38]. This combination of morphologic and functional testing is particularly valuable because findings can be directly correlated, as in hybrid imaging combining CT with SPECT or PET, which has been found to improve risk stratification of patients with known or suspected CAD [39]. Patients with evidence of stenosis at CCTA and a matched reversible perfusion defect at SPECT are at highest risk of future MACE with an annual event rate of 6.0%. In unmatched patients this risk is lower at 2.8%, and further reduction to 1.3% is observed among patients without evidence of ischemia or obstructive CAD [39].
A 2013 study [40] showed that the prognostic value of myocardial perfusion SPECT strongly depends on the appropriate use of this test. When used within established appropriate use criteria, SPECT has high predictive value for future MACE, but the findings are not predictive of MACE if the technique is used inappropriately. Likewise, the clinical utility of myocardial perfusion CT as a prognostic tool will greatly depend on appropriate patient selection. Because myocardial perfusion CT is currently a research application and no accepted criteria for its clinical use exist, the development of such guidelines will be essential to translate the prognostic value of myocardial perfusion CT reported in our study into a clinically useful test with diagnostic and prognostic value.
We chose a qualitative visual analysis for the detection of perfusion defects in myocardial perfusion CT in this study. This approach is comparable to how the established techniques of SPECT and myocardial perfusion MRI are commonly analyzed and reported. Other authors have used quantitative measurements of myocardial blood flow to define myocardial segments with perfusion defects. However, there is currently no consensus on how ROIs are best placed and which cutoff is most suitable for discriminating normal from ischemic myocardium. Studies [19, 41] have shown that relative measurements of myocardial blood flow are more suitable than absolute measurements, which introduces the additional difficulty of defining remote, presumably normal myocardium.
We defined perfusion defects as areas of decreased myocardial blood flow or myocardial blood volume that are consistent with an ischemic cause and not suggestive of an artifact. In theory, one could expect cases of compensated stenosis causing a decrease in myocardial blood flow with no change in myocardial blood volume. In practice, we found that perfusion defects on myocardial blood flow maps almost always represented corresponding abnormalities on myocardial blood volume maps, although the precise extent of the perfusion defect could differ slightly. This finding is consistent with animal data showing that both myocardial blood flow and myocardial blood volume are decreased in both infarcted and ischemic myocardium [42]. Nevertheless, the relative changes in myocardial blood flow and myocardial blood volume in relation to the degree of coronary artery stenosis merit further investigation.
Our data relied on dynamic CT measurements of myocardial perfusion. Other authors have investigated single-shot approaches to myocardial perfusion CT, which capture a snapshot of iodine distribution within the myocardium during the first-pass inflow of contrast medium. The multicenter CORE320 study [4, 5] showed that adding single-shot myocardial perfusion CT to CCTA significantly improved accuracy for identifying flow-limiting coronary stenosis. CT-derived fractional flow reserve has been investigated as an alternative to determining the hemodynamic relevance of coronary stenosis. This approach uses computational fluid dynamics to calculate the fractional flow reserve based on the CCTA dataset. Several studies of CT-derived fractional flow reserve have shown high diagnostic accuracy [6, 43, 44].
Several limitations of our study merit consideration. Our data relied on the acquisition of dynamic perfusion datasets and should not be extrapolated to static approaches to assessment of myocardial blood supply [5, 45]. Furthermore, all examinations were performed with dual-source CT and are thus derived from a single CT vendor. The results may not apply to other vendors with different technical implementations of dynamic myocardial perfusion CT. We used qualitative evaluation of myocardial perfusion CT datasets and per-territory analysis. Further studies may clarify whether a quantitative approach and per-segment analysis further improve risk stratification. In addition, most of the MACE in our study were comparatively soft events (unstable angina, revascularization), which introduces the potential for bias. It is important to consider, however, that the results of myocardial perfusion CT were purely investigational and not disclosed to clinicians. If present, any bias in the outcomes would likely favor CCTA over myocardial perfusion CT and underestimate the incremental value of myocardial perfusion CT. Nevertheless, our results must be verified in large-scale prospective trials.
Despite the limitations our study provides initial evidence that in a population at intermediate to high cardiovascular risk, myocardial perfusion CT has incremental predictive value for future MACE beyond clinical risk factors and assessment of coronary artery stenosis with CCTA.

Footnotes

U. J. Schoepf is a consultant for or receives research support from Astellas, Bayer, Bracco, GE Healthcare, Medrad, and Siemens Healthcare.
F. Bamberg has received unrestricted research grants and speakers' bureau fees from Siemens Healthcare and Bayer Healthcare.
This work forms part of the research themes contributing to the translational research portfolio of the National Institute for Health Research Cardiovascular Biomedical Research Unit at Barts, which is funded and supported by the NIHR (F. Pugliese).

References

1.
Bamberg F, Becker A, Schwarz F, et al. Detection of hemodynamically significant coronary artery stenosis: incremental diagnostic value of dynamic CT-based myocardial perfusion imaging. Radiology 2011; 260:689–698
2.
Bastarrika G, Ramos-Duran L, Rosenblum MA, Kang DK, Rowe GW, Schoepf UJ. Adenosine-stress dynamic myocardial CT perfusion imaging: initial clinical experience. Invest Radiol 2010; 45:306–313
3.
Bamberg F, Klotz E, Flohr T, et al. Dynamic myocardial stress perfusion imaging using fast dual-source CT with alternating table positions: initial experience. Eur Radiol 2010; 20:1168–1173
4.
George RT, Mehra VC, Chen MY, et al. Myocardial CT perfusion imaging and SPECT for the diagnosis of coronary artery disease: a head-to-head comparison from the CORE320 multicenter diagnostic performance study. Radiology 2014; 272:407–416
5.
Rochitte CE, George RT, Chen MY, et al. Computed tomography angiography and perfusion to assess coronary artery stenosis causing perfusion defects by single photon emission computed tomography: the CORE320 study. Eur Heart J 2014; 35:1120–1130
6.
Koo BK, Erglis A, Doh JH, et al. Diagnosis of ischemia-causing coronary stenoses by noninvasive fractional flow reserve computed from coronary computed tomographic angiograms: results from the prospective multicenter DISCOVER-FLOW (diagnosis of ischemia-causing stenoses obtained via noninvasive fractional flow reserve) study. J Am Coll Cardiol 2011; 58:1989–1997
7.
Bastarrika G, Ramos-Duran L, Schoepf UJ, et al. Adenosine-stress dynamic myocardial volume perfusion imaging with second generation dual-source computed tomography: concepts and first experiences. J Cardiovasc Comput Tomogr 2010; 4:127–135
8.
Ho KT, Chua KC, Klotz E, Panknin C. Stress and rest dynamic myocardial perfusion imaging by evaluation of complete time-attenuation curves with dual-source CT. JACC Cardiovasc Imaging 2010; 3:811–820
9.
Wang Y, Qin L, Shi X, et al. Adenosine-stress dynamic myocardial perfusion imaging with second-generation dual-source CT: comparison with conventional catheter coronary angiography and SPECT nuclear myocardial perfusion imaging. AJR 2012; 198:521–529
10.
So A, Wisenberg G, Islam A, et al. Non-invasive assessment of functionally relevant coronary artery stenoses with quantitative CT perfusion: preliminary clinical experiences. Eur Radiol 2012; 22:39–50
11.
Weininger M, Schoepf UJ, Ramachandra A, et al. Adenosine-stress dynamic real-time myocardial perfusion CT and adenosine-stress first-pass dual-energy myocardial perfusion CT for the assessment of acute chest pain: initial results. Eur J Radiol 2012; 81:3703–3710
12.
Ko BS, Cameron JD, Meredith IT, et al. Computed tomography stress myocardial perfusion imaging in patients considered for revascularization: a comparison with fractional flow reserve. Eur Heart J 2012; 33:67–77
13.
Rossi A, Dharampal A, Wragg A, et al. Diagnostic performance of hyperaemic myocardial blood flow index obtained by dynamic computed tomography: does it predict functionally significant coronary lesions? Eur Heart J Cardiovasc Imaging 2014; 15:85–94
14.
Greif M, von Ziegler F, Bamberg F, et al. CT stress perfusion imaging for detection of haemodynamically relevant coronary stenosis as defined by FFR. Heart 2013; 99:1004–1011
15.
Shaw LJ, Hendel RC, Heller GV, Borges-Neto S, Cerqueira M, Berman DS. Prognostic estimation of coronary artery disease risk with resting perfusion abnormalities and stress ischemia on myocardial perfusion SPECT. J Nucl Cardiol 2008; 15:762–773
16.
Bourque JM, Beller GA. Stress myocardial perfusion imaging for assessing prognosis: an update. JACC Cardiovasc Imaging 2011; 4:1305–1319
17.
Gargiulo P, Dellegrottaglie S, Bruzzese D, et al. The prognostic value of normal stress cardiac magnetic resonance in patients with known or suspected coronary artery disease: a meta-analysis. Circ Cardiovasc Imaging 2013; 6:574–582
18.
Meinel FG, Ebersberger U, Schoepf UJ, et al. Global quantification of left ventricular myocardial perfusion at dynamic CT: feasibility in a multicenter patient population. AJR 2014; 203:[web] W174–W180
19.
Wichmann JL, Meinel FG, Schoepf UJ, et al. Absolute versus relative myocardial blood flow by dynamic CT myocardial perfusion imaging in patients with anatomic coronary artery disease. AJR 2015; 205:[web]W67–W72
20.
Kang X, Berman DS, Lewin HC, et al. Incremental prognostic value of myocardial perfusion single photon emission computed tomography in patients with diabetes mellitus. Am Heart J 1999; 138:1025–1032
21.
Hachamovitch R, Berman DS, Kiat H, et al. Exercise myocardial perfusion SPECT in patients without known coronary artery disease: incremental prognostic value and use in risk stratification. Circulation 1996; 93:905–914
22.
Iskandrian AS, Chae SC, Heo J, Stanberry CD, Wasserleben V, Cave V. Independent and incremental prognostic value of exercise single-photon emission computed tomographic (SPECT) thallium imaging in coronary artery disease. J Am Coll Cardiol 1993; 22:665–670
23.
Vanzetto G, Ormezzano O, Fagret D, Comet M, Denis B, Machecourt J. Long-term additive prognostic value of thallium-201 myocardial perfusion imaging over clinical and exercise stress test in low to intermediate risk patients: study in 1137 patients with 6-year follow-up. Circulation 1999; 100:1521–1527
24.
Kay J, Dorbala S, Goyal A, et al. Influence of sex on risk stratification with stress myocardial perfusion Rb-82 positron emission tomography: results from the PET (positron emission tomography) Prognosis Multicenter Registry. J Am Coll Cardiol 2013; 62:1866–1876
25.
Dorbala S, Di Carli MF, Beanlands RS, et al. Prognostic value of stress myocardial perfusion positron emission tomography: results from a multicenter observational registry. J Am Coll Cardiol 2013; 61:176–184
26.
Marwick TH, Shan K, Patel S, Go RT, Lauer MS. Incremental value of rubidium-82 positron emission tomography for prognostic assessment of known or suspected coronary artery disease. Am J Cardiol 1997; 80:865–870
27.
Yoshinaga K, Chow BJ, Williams K, et al. What is the prognostic value of myocardial perfusion imaging using rubidium-82 positron emission tomography? J Am Coll Cardiol 2006; 48:1029–1039
28.
Lertsburapa K, Ahlberg AW, Bateman TM, et al. Independent and incremental prognostic value of left ventricular ejection fraction determined by stress gated rubidium 82 PET imaging in patients with known or suspected coronary artery disease. J Nucl Cardiol 2008; 15:745–753
29.
Dorbala S, Hachamovitch R, Curillova Z, et al. Incremental prognostic value of gated Rb-82 positron emission tomography myocardial perfusion imaging over clinical variables and rest LVEF. JACC Cardiovasc Imaging 2009; 2:846–854
30.
Beanlands RS, Ziadi MC, Williams K. Quantification of myocardial flow reserve using positron emission imaging the journey to clinical use. J Am Coll Cardiol 2009; 54:157–159
31.
Herzog BA, Husmann L, Valenta I, et al. Long-term prognostic value of 13N-ammonia myocardial perfusion positron emission tomography added value of coronary flow reserve. J Am Coll Cardiol 2009; 54:150–156
32.
Ziadi MC, Dekemp RA, Williams KA, et al. Impaired myocardial flow reserve on rubidium-82 positron emission tomography imaging predicts adverse outcomes in patients assessed for myocardial ischemia. J Am Coll Cardiol 2011; 58:740–748
33.
Murthy VL, Naya M, Foster CR, et al. Improved cardiac risk assessment with noninvasive measures of coronary flow reserve. Circulation 2011; 124:2215–2224
34.
Lipinski MJ, McVey CM, Berger JS, Kramer CM, Salerno M. Prognostic value of stress cardiac magnetic resonance imaging in patients with known or suspected coronary artery disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis. J Am Coll Cardiol 2013; 62:826–838
35.
Chow BJ, Small G, Yam Y, et al. Incremental prognostic value of cardiac computed tomography in coronary artery disease using CONFIRM: coronary computed tomography angiography evaluation for clinical outcomes—an international multicenter registry. Circ Cardiovasc Imaging 2011; 4:463–472
36.
Chow BJ, Wells GA, Chen L, et al. Prognostic value of 64-slice cardiac computed tomography severity of coronary artery disease, coronary atherosclerosis, and left ventricular ejection fraction. J Am Coll Cardiol 2010; 55:1017–1028
37.
Bamberg F, Sommer WH, Hoffmann V, et al. Meta-analysis and systematic review of the long-term predictive value of assessment of coronary atherosclerosis by contrast-enhanced coronary computed tomography angiography. J Am Coll Cardiol 2011; 57:2426–2436
38.
van Werkhoven JM, Schuijf JD, Gaemperli O, et al. Prognostic value of multislice computed tomography and gated single-photon emission computed tomography in patients with suspected coronary artery disease. J Am Coll Cardiol 2009; 53:623–632
39.
Pazhenkottil AP, Nkoulou RN, Ghadri JR, et al. Prognostic value of cardiac hybrid imaging integrating single-photon emission computed tomography with coronary computed tomography angiography. Eur Heart J 2011; 32:1465–1471
40.
Doukky R, Hayes K, Frogge N, et al. Impact of appropriate use on the prognostic value of single-photon emission computed tomography myocardial perfusion imaging. Circulation 2013; 128:1634–1643
41.
Kono AK, Coenen A, Lubbers M, et al. Relative myocardial blood flow by dynamic computed tomographic perfusion imaging predicts hemodynamic significance of coronary stenosis better than absolute blood flow. Invest Radiol 2014; 49:801–807
42.
Bamberg F, Hinkel R, Marcus RP, et al. Feasibility of dynamic CT-based adenosine stress myocardial perfusion imaging to detect and differentiate ischemic and infarcted myocardium in an large experimental porcine animal model. Int J Cardiovasc Imaging 2014; 30:803–812
43.
Min JK, Leipsic J, Pencina MJ, et al. Diagnostic accuracy of fractional flow reserve from anatomic CT angiography. JAMA 2012; 308:1237–1245
44.
Nørgaard BL, Leipsic J, Gaur S, et al. Diagnostic performance of noninvasive fractional flow reserve derived from coronary computed tomography angiography in suspected coronary artery disease: the NXT trial (analysis of coronary blood flow using CT angiography: next steps). J Am Coll Cardiol 2014; 63:1145–1155
45.
Ruzsics B, Lee H, Powers ER, Flohr TG, Costello P, Schoepf UJ. Images in cardiovascular medicine. Myocardial ischemia diagnosed by dual-energy computed tomography: correlation with single-photon emission computed tomography. Circulation 2008; 117:1244–1245

Information & Authors

Information

Published In

American Journal of Roentgenology
Pages: 761 - 769
PubMed: 28177653

History

Submitted: January 15, 2016
Accepted: July 31, 2016
Version of record online: February 8, 2017

Keywords

  1. CT
  2. major adverse cardiac events
  3. myocardial perfusion imaging
  4. predictive value
  5. prognosis

Authors

Affiliations

Felix G. Meinel
Department of Radiology and Radiological Science, Medical University of South Carolina, Ashley River Tower, MSC 226, 25 Courtenay Dr, Charleston, SC 29425.
Institute for Clinical Radiology, Ludwig-Maximilians-University Hospital, Munich, Germany.
Francesca Pugliese
Centre for Advanced Cardiovascular Imaging, NIHR Cardiovascular Biomedical Research Unit at Barts, William Harvey Research Institute, Barts and the London School of Medicine, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK.
U. Joseph Schoepf
Department of Radiology and Radiological Science, Medical University of South Carolina, Ashley River Tower, MSC 226, 25 Courtenay Dr, Charleston, SC 29425.
Department of Medicine, Division of Cardiology, Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston, SC.
Ullrich Ebersberger
Department of Radiology and Radiological Science, Medical University of South Carolina, Ashley River Tower, MSC 226, 25 Courtenay Dr, Charleston, SC 29425.
Department of Cardiology and Intensive Care Medicine, Heart Center Munich-Bogenhausen, Munich, Germany.
Julian L. Wichmann
Department of Radiology and Radiological Science, Medical University of South Carolina, Ashley River Tower, MSC 226, 25 Courtenay Dr, Charleston, SC 29425.
Department of Diagnostic and Interventional Radiology, University Hospital Frankfurt, Frankfurt, Germany.
Gladys G. Lo
Department of Diagnostic and Interventional Radiology, Hong Kong Sanatorium and Hospital, Happy Valley, Hong Kong, China.
Yeon Hyeon Choe
Department of Radiology, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Yining Wang
Department of Radiology, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, China.
Sabrina Segreto
Centre for Advanced Cardiovascular Imaging, NIHR Cardiovascular Biomedical Research Unit at Barts, William Harvey Research Institute, Barts and the London School of Medicine, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK.
Department of Advanced Biomedical Sciences, University Federico II, Napoli, Italy.
Fabian Bamberg
Department of Radiology, University Hospital Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany.
Carlo N. De Cecco
Department of Radiology and Radiological Science, Medical University of South Carolina, Ashley River Tower, MSC 226, 25 Courtenay Dr, Charleston, SC 29425.

Notes

Address correspondence to U. J. Schoepf ([email protected]).
F. G. Meinel and F. Pugliese contributed equally to this study.

Funding Information

Supported in part by a grant from the FP7-CP-FP 2007 project (grant agreement 222915, EVINCI).

Metrics & Citations

Metrics

Citations

Export Citations

To download the citation to this article, select your reference manager software.

Articles citing this article

Media

Figures

Other

Tables

Share

Share

Copy the content Link

Share on social media